امروز : جمعه، ۱۹ اردیبهشت ۱۴۰۴
Risk Assessment Models in Stock Market Financial Management, Empirical Study of Forecast Accuracy
دوره 1، شماره 3، 1404، صفحات 24 - 30
1 1- Master of Industrial Engineering،Systems Management and Productivity, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad Branch,Iran
2 2- Ahmad Amoushahi, Master\'s student in Industrial Management, Shahid Ashrafi University of Isfahan
چکیده :
Risk assessment models in stock market financial management are crucial tools designed to evaluate and quantify potential financial risks, thereby aiding investors in making informed decisions. As the financial landscape has grown increasingly complex, the development and refinement of these models have become essential for effectively navigating market uncertainties. This evolution has been significantly influenced by advances in statistical methodologies, machine learning techniques, and computational technology, which have allowed for more accurate forecasts and better risk evaluation strategies in dynamic market environments.[1][2][3]. The importance of these models lies in their ability to assess various forms of market risk, including volatility, correlation, and potential financial losses, which are vital for risk management and investment strategies. Traditional methods, such as linear regression and econometric models, have been augmented by modern approaches that incorporate machine learning and artificial intelligence, enhancing predictive accuracy and enabling the analysis of large datasets. Empirical studies suggest that while traditional statistical models provide foundational insights, they may fall short in capturing the intricacies of complex financial interactions, thus paving the way for more sophisticated methods like Monte Carlo simulations and generalized least squares.[4][5][6]. Notably, debates within the field often center on the efficacy of different risk assessment techniques, particularly regarding the integration of behavioral finance principles and the ongoing refinement of predictive accuracy metrics. Controversies arise around the reliance on disclosed risk information, with findings indicating that it may not significantly influence analysts' earnings forecast accuracy. This suggests a disconnect between the quality of risk disclosure and its utility in practical forecasting, challenging the traditional views on the effectiveness of risk communication in financial contexts.[7][8][9]. In summary, risk assessment models serve as a cornerstone of financial management, reflecting the ongoing interplay between theoretical advancements and empirical applications. As these models continue to evolve, they promise to enhance our understanding of market behavior and improve decision-making processes within the realm of finance, ultimately contributing to more resilient investment strategies in an ever-changing economic landscape.[10][11][12].
Risk assessment models in stock market financial management are crucial tools designed to evaluate and quantify potential financial risks, thereby aiding investors in making informed decisions. As the financial landscape has grown increasingly complex, the development and refinement of these models have become essential for effectively navigating market uncertainties. This evolution has been significantly influenced by advances in statistical methodologies, machine learning techniques, and computational technology, which have allowed for more accurate forecasts and better risk evaluation strategies in dynamic market environments.[1][2][3]. The importance of these models lies in their ability to assess various forms of market risk, including volatility, correlation, and potential financial losses, which are vital for risk management and investment strategies. Traditional methods, such as linear regression and econometric models, have been augmented by modern approaches that incorporate machine learning and artificial intelligence, enhancing predictive accuracy and enabling the analysis of large datasets. Empirical studies suggest that while traditional statistical models provide foundational insights, they may fall short in capturing the intricacies of complex financial interactions, thus paving the way for more sophisticated methods like Monte Carlo simulations and generalized least squares.[4][5][6]. Notably, debates within the field often center on the efficacy of different risk assessment techniques, particularly regarding the integration of behavioral finance principles and the ongoing refinement of predictive accuracy metrics. Controversies arise around the reliance on disclosed risk information, with findings indicating that it may not significantly influence analysts' earnings forecast accuracy. This suggests a disconnect between the quality of risk disclosure and its utility in practical forecasting, challenging the traditional views on the effectiveness of risk communication in financial contexts.[7][8][9]. In summary, risk assessment models serve as a cornerstone of financial management, reflecting the ongoing interplay between theoretical advancements and empirical applications. As these models continue to evolve, they promise to enhance our understanding of market behavior and improve decision-making processes within the realm of finance, ultimately contributing to more resilient investment strategies in an ever-changing economic landscape.[10][11][12].
کلمات کلیدی :
Financial management، Stocks market، Artificial intelligence
Financial management، Stocks market، Artificial intelligence